Catholic Voters
With the Papal election in the news I came across an interesting analysis of the trends in Catholic voting. At one time it was heavily Democratic. This was true for a variety of reasons, starting with the fact that Catholics tended to be on the outside of mainstream and power tended to rest with Protestants.
John F. Kennedy was narrowly elected president in 1960 on the back of 83 percent of all Catholic votes cast. LBJ and Hubert Humphrey won similarly high percentages in 1964 and 1968.
But in 1972, George McGovern's campaign produced then-uncommon Catholic support for a Republican presidential candidate, Richard Nixon. The trend away from the Democrats has largely continued for three decades.
In 2004 they provided President Bush with his winning margin, voting for him over fellow Catholic John Kerry.
In 1960, 82 percent of Catholics identified themselves as Democrats. By 1980 it was only 46 percent In the mid-1980s, Democrats led Republicans among white Catholics by 7 points in party identification, today more say they are Republican.
Another interesting note, Catholics are the bellwether voters: as go Catholics, so goes the nation. Since 1972, they have always cast their votes for the popular vote winner.
John F. Kennedy was narrowly elected president in 1960 on the back of 83 percent of all Catholic votes cast. LBJ and Hubert Humphrey won similarly high percentages in 1964 and 1968.
But in 1972, George McGovern's campaign produced then-uncommon Catholic support for a Republican presidential candidate, Richard Nixon. The trend away from the Democrats has largely continued for three decades.
In 2004 they provided President Bush with his winning margin, voting for him over fellow Catholic John Kerry.
In 1960, 82 percent of Catholics identified themselves as Democrats. By 1980 it was only 46 percent In the mid-1980s, Democrats led Republicans among white Catholics by 7 points in party identification, today more say they are Republican.
Another interesting note, Catholics are the bellwether voters: as go Catholics, so goes the nation. Since 1972, they have always cast their votes for the popular vote winner.
