It's been a day or two so I thought I'd expand a little on my views of the filibuster deal that was cut in the Senate.
Just to review the deal says that 3 of the pending nominations will go to a full vote. Those judges are Janice Rogers Brown, William Pryor and Priscilla Owen. The other 2 nominations (Henry Saad and William Myers) are not promised votes.
The terms of the compromise also state that they agree there won't be filibusters except in 'extraordinary situations' but it does not define what those situations are.
In addition, it says nothing for the 38 Democrats who were not in on the deal, and I'm sure we can count on Boxer and company messing things up in the future, especially when we go to a Supreme Court nomination.
As I have said before, it's not a perfect deal, I would have liked all of the judges to get confirmed.
But it does set a no filibuster standard which, at least in theory, 62 Senators support. This assumes that the 48 GOP members who were not part of the deal work with the 14 Senators who were.
That gives them 2 more votes than needed to invoke cloture should a Boxer/Kennedy type try to make a mess of a nomination.
In addition, it looks like most of the GOP senators were willing to vote on the Constitutional option if needed, and all we need there is 2 (48 GOP plus 2 of the 7 who cut the deal is 50). Cheney has said he'd break the tie.
As to the fact that only 3 of the 5 pending nominations go up for a vote, there is a detail many forget.
Unlike Owens, Pryor and Brown, neither Henry Saad and William Myers had 51 clear votes for confirmation. And if we are going to take a fair look at history, this kind of thing has happened before.
For decades, where it was clear a nominee wouldn't get confirmed, he or she usually didn't get a floor vote. This usually happened when one party held the White House and another held the Senate. But it was a standard that if you didn't have a clear 51 votes then you didn't get a full vote.
In this case, there was considerable doubt whether the two excluded nominees would have gotten 51 votes. Assuming most (5 out of the 7) of the GOP senators who cut the deal were also opposed to them, then that means nothing was given up. A non confirmation is a non confirmation whether its by floor vote or by no vote.
So we get the 3 candidates who have a clear 51+ vote support, we get 7 Democrats on record saying they will block filibusters. This is key for Supreme Court nominations.
And you can bet that if the deal is broken we would get most of the GOP 7 to vote in favor of the Constitutional option.
All the Democrats got was blocking 2 nominees that were probably already blocked and a deal that says they can't filibuster in the future.
The first step of that deal came today with an 81-18 vote to end debate on the Owens nomination.
All in all this is a win for Bush and the GOP. Not a blowout, but a win.